Roll To Hit: Comparative Mathematical Probability In Tabletop Role-playing Games
Roll To Hit: Comparative Mathematical Probability In Tabletop Role-playing Games
Roll To Hit: Comparative Mathematical Probability In Tabletop Role-playing Games
Benton Tyler, Cathlena Martin
December, 15, 2024
Summary
The article "Roll to Hit: Comparative Mathematical Probability in Tabletop Role-Playing Games" examines how different dice mechanics influence combat outcomes in TTRPGs. By analyzing starting characters across various systems, the authors demonstrate that the underlying probability structures—such as flat distributions (e.g., 1d20) versus bell curves (e.g., 3d6)—significantly affect the frequency and predictability of successful attacks. This comparative analysis highlights how game design choices in dice mechanics can shape player experience, narrative pacing, and the overall tone of gameplay. The study provides a scholarly foundation for understanding the mathematical dimensions of TTRPG systems.
Reference
Tyler, B., & Martin, C. (2024, December 15). Roll to hit: Comparative mathematical probability in tabletop role-playing games. Analog Game Studies. https://analoggamestudies.org/2024/12/roll-to-hit-comparative-mathematical-probability-in-tabletop-role-playing-games/